Industry Employment Projections

About Projections - Employment projections are a multi-step process. Historic industry employment trends and other factors are analyzed to project future industry employment. Industry staffing patterns are then used to estimate occupational employment projections. The occupational projections estimate the number of new, transfer, and exit jobs openings that are expected to occur over the projection period.

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Long-Term Projection 2018-2028

Missouri

Data produced by Missouri Economic Research and Information Center (MERIC). Funding provided by U.S. Department of Labor's Employment and Training Administration (ETA).
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
00 - All Industries 2,945,668 3,161,445 215,777 7.33%
11 - Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
11 - Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 24,393 25,291 898 3.68%
  111 - Crop production 12,954 14,138 1,184 9.14%
  112 - Animal production and aquaculture 7,219 6,606 -613 -8.49%
  113 - Forestry and logging 1,178 1,169 -9 -0.76%
  114 - Fishing, hunting and trapping 20 23 3 15.00%
  115 - Agriculture and forestry support activities 3,022 3,355 333 11.02%
21 - Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
21 - Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 4,108 4,360 252 6.13%
  212 - Mining, except oil and gas 3,817 4,037 220 5.76%
     2123 - Nonmetallic mineral mining and quarrying 2,984 3,197 213 7.14%
22 - Utilities
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
22 - Utilities 11,681 11,088 -593 -5.08%
  221 - Utilities 11,681 11,088 -593 -5.08%
     2211 - Power generation and supply 7,756 7,340 -416 -5.36%
23 - Construction
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
23 - Construction 126,383 139,781 13,398 10.60%
  236 - Construction of buildings 28,035 31,312 3,277 11.69%
     2361 - Residential building construction 11,703 13,259 1,556 13.30%
     2362 - Nonresidential building construction 16,332 18,053 1,721 10.54%
  237 - Heavy and civil engineering construction 17,189 19,352 2,163 12.58%
     2371 - Utility system construction 9,408 10,787 1,379 14.66%
     2372 - Land subdivision 255 268 13 5.10%
     2373 - Highway, street, and bridge construction 5,350 6,025 675 12.62%
     2379 - Other heavy construction 2,176 2,272 96 4.41%
  238 - Specialty trade contractors 81,159 89,117 7,958 9.81%
     2381 - Building foundation and exterior contractors 16,628 17,567 939 5.65%
     2382 - Building equipment contractors 36,817 41,552 4,735 12.86%
     2383 - Building finishing contractors 14,101 15,400 1,299 9.21%
     2389 - Other specialty trade contractors 13,613 14,598 985 7.24%
31 - Manufacturing
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
31 - Manufacturing 266,445 276,673 10,228 3.84%
  311 - Food manufacturing 41,893 44,615 2,722 6.50%
     3111 - Animal food manufacturing 5,053 5,671 618 12.23%
     3112 - Grain and oilseed milling 2,508 2,639 131 5.22%
     3113 - Sugar and confectionery product manufacturing 524 494 -30 -5.73%
     3114 - Fruit and vegetable preserving and specialty 2,677 2,649 -28 -1.05%
     3115 - Dairy product manufacturing 5,557 5,732 175 3.15%
     3116 - Animal slaughtering and processing 18,682 20,871 2,189 11.72%
     3118 - Bakeries and tortilla manufacturing 3,455 3,222 -233 -6.74%
     3119 - Other food manufacturing 3,437 3,337 -100 -2.91%
  312 - Beverage and tobacco product manufacturing 5,734 6,368 634 11.06%
  313 - Textile mills 273 267 -6 -2.20%
  314 - Textile product mills 1,804 1,740 -64 -3.55%
  315 - Apparel manufacturing 1,463 834 -629 -42.99%
  316 - Leather and allied product manufacturing 853 611 -242 -28.37%
  321 - Wood product manufacturing 7,250 7,402 152 2.10%
     3211 - Sawmills and wood preservation 1,971 1,988 17 0.86%
     3212 - Plywood and engineered wood product mfg. 621 756 135 21.74%
     3219 - Other wood product manufacturing 4,658 4,658 0 0.00%
  322 - Paper manufacturing 6,860 6,137 -723 -10.54%
  323 - Printing and related support activities 10,010 8,105 -1,905 -19.03%
  324 - Petroleum and coal products manufacturing 1,374 1,473 99 7.21%
  325 - Chemical manufacturing 20,271 20,703 432 2.13%
  326 - Plastics and rubber products manufacturing 16,325 16,285 -40 -0.25%
     3261 - Plastics product manufacturing 13,696 13,789 93 0.68%
     3262 - Rubber product manufacturing 2,629 2,496 -133 -5.06%
  327 - Nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing 8,068 7,718 -350 -4.34%
  331 - Primary metal manufacturing 6,857 6,908 51 0.74%
     3311 - Iron and steel mills and ferroalloy mfg. 312 361 49 15.71%
     3312 - Steel product mfg. from purchased steel 1,406 1,365 -41 -2.92%
     3313 - Alumina and aluminum production 1,288 1,199 -89 -6.91%
     3314 - Other nonferrous metal production 1,216 1,213 -3 -0.25%
     3315 - Foundries 2,635 2,770 135 5.12%
  332 - Fabricated metal product manufacturing 29,609 30,891 1,282 4.33%
  333 - Machinery manufacturing 25,812 27,680 1,868 7.24%
  334 - Computer and electronic product manufacturing 11,888 13,593 1,705 14.34%
     3342 - Communications equipment manufacturing 1,132 1,394 262 23.14%
     3344 - Semiconductor and electronic component mfg. 7,502 8,897 1,395 18.60%
     3345 - Electronic instrument manufacturing 2,948 3,001 53 1.80%
     3346 - Magnetic media manufacturing and reproducing 97 90 -7 -7.22%
  335 - Electrical equipment and appliance mfg. 10,520 11,022 502 4.77%
     3353 - Electrical equipment manufacturing 3,826 3,943 117 3.06%
     3359 - Other electrical equipment and component mfg. 5,910 6,338 428 7.24%
  336 - Transportation equipment manufacturing 44,156 47,504 3,348 7.58%
     3362 - Motor vehicle body and trailer manufacturing 2,442 2,288 -154 -6.31%
     3363 - Motor vehicle parts manufacturing 9,296 9,352 56 0.60%
     3364 - Aerospace product and parts manufacturing 17,814 17,088 -726 -4.08%
     3366 - Ship and boat building 2,483 3,225 742 29.88%
     3369 - Other transportation equipment manufacturing 849 1,577 728 85.75%
  337 - Furniture and related product manufacturing 7,046 7,721 675 9.58%
  339 - Miscellaneous manufacturing 8,379 9,096 717 8.56%
     3391 - Medical equipment and supplies manufacturing 3,656 3,733 77 2.11%
     3399 - Other miscellaneous manufacturing 4,723 5,363 640 13.55%
42 - Wholesale Trade
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
42 - Wholesale trade 120,092 128,880 8,788 7.32%
  423 - Merchant wholesalers, durable goods 67,646 73,209 5,563 8.22%
  424 - Merchant wholesalers, nondurable goods 40,732 42,672 1,940 4.76%
  425 - Electronic markets and agents and brokers 11,714 12,999 1,285 10.97%
     4251 - Electronic markets and agents and brokers 11,714 12,999 1,285 10.97%
44 - Retail Trade
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
44 - Retail trade 291,843 284,505 -7,338 -2.51%
  441 - Motor vehicle and parts dealers 39,625 41,181 1,556 3.93%
     4411 - Automobile dealers 24,608 25,165 557 2.26%
     4412 - Other motor vehicle dealers 3,204 3,543 339 10.58%
     4413 - Auto parts, accessories, and tire stores 11,813 12,473 660 5.59%
  442 - Furniture and home furnishings stores 6,919 7,157 238 3.44%
     4421 - Furniture stores 3,243 3,302 59 1.82%
     4422 - Home furnishings stores 3,676 3,855 179 4.87%
  443 - Electronics and appliance stores 6,238 5,165 -1,073 -17.20%
  444 - Building material and garden supply stores 30,355 31,393 1,038 3.42%
     4441 - Building material and supplies dealers 25,629 26,569 940 3.67%
     4442 - Lawn and garden equipment and supplies stores 4,726 4,824 98 2.07%
  445 - Food and beverage stores 45,412 41,642 -3,770 -8.30%
  446 - Health and personal care stores 18,577 18,586 9 0.05%
     4461 - Health and personal care stores 18,577 18,586 9 0.05%
  447 - Gasoline stations 28,448 27,518 -930 -3.27%
  448 - Clothing and clothing accessories stores 13,568 14,099 531 3.91%
     4481 - Clothing stores 9,748 10,375 627 6.43%
     4482 - Shoe stores 2,398 2,322 -76 -3.17%
     4483 - Jewelry, luggage, and leather goods stores 1,422 1,402 -20 -1.41%
  451 - Sports, hobby, music instrument, book stores 9,397 8,683 -714 -7.60%
     4511 - Sporting goods and musical instrument stores 8,375 8,011 -364 -4.35%
     4512 - Book stores and news dealers 1,022 672 -350 -34.25%
  452 - General merchandise stores 67,992 63,477 -4,515 -6.64%
  453 - Miscellaneous store retailers 13,777 12,164 -1,613 -11.71%
  454 - Nonstore retailers 11,535 13,440 1,905 16.52%
     4541 - Electronic shopping and mail-order houses 8,678 10,740 2,062 23.76%
     4542 - Vending machine operators 855 909 54 6.32%
     4543 - Direct selling establishments 2,002 1,791 -211 -10.54%
48 - Transportation and Warehousing
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
48 - Transportation and warehousing 104,504 122,037 17,533 16.78%
  481 - Air transportation 3,744 3,767 23 0.61%
     4811 - Scheduled air transportation 3,379 3,363 -16 -0.47%
     4812 - Nonscheduled air transportation 365 404 39 10.68%
  482 - Rail transportation 6,662 6,899 237 3.56%
     4821 - Rail transportation 6,662 6,899 237 3.56%
  483 - Water transportation 372 345 -27 -7.26%
  484 - Truck transportation 38,306 41,077 2,771 7.23%
  485 - Transit and ground passenger transportation 7,606 8,962 1,356 17.83%
     4852 - Interurban and rural bus transportation 281 314 33 11.74%
     4853 - Taxi and limousine service 485 528 43 8.87%
     4854 - School and employee bus transportation 3,482 4,016 534 15.34%
     4859 - Other ground passenger transportation 2,074 2,692 618 29.80%
  486 - Pipeline transportation 353 392 39 11.05%
     4869 - Other pipeline transportation 196 210 14 7.14%
  487 - Scenic and sightseeing transportation 251 361 110 43.82%
     4871 - Scenic and sightseeing transportation, land 110 143 33 30.00%
  488 - Support activities for transportation 11,689 14,549 2,860 24.47%
     4881 - Support activities for air transportation 2,529 3,066 537 21.23%
     4882 - Support activities for rail transportation 1,292 1,255 -37 -2.86%
     4883 - Support activities for water transportation 577 584 7 1.21%
     4884 - Support activities for road transportation 1,906 2,626 720 37.78%
     4885 - Freight transportation arrangement 5,195 6,848 1,653 31.82%
     4889 - Other support activities for transportation 190 170 -20 -10.53%
     4911 - Postal service 14,671 13,447 -1,224 -8.34%
  492 - Couriers and messengers 14,853 19,263 4,410 29.69%
     4921 - Couriers and express delivery services 12,606 16,596 3,990 31.65%
     4922 - Local messengers and local delivery 2,247 2,667 420 18.69%
  493 - Warehousing and storage 20,668 26,422 5,754 27.84%
51 - Information
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
51 - Information 45,133 47,311 2,178 4.83%
  511 - Publishing industries, except internet 8,725 8,291 -434 -4.97%
     5111 - Newspaper, book, and directory publishers 4,963 3,909 -1,054 -21.24%
     5112 - Software publishers 3,762 4,382 620 16.48%
  512 - Motion picture and sound recording industries 1,997 3,200 1,203 60.24%
     5121 - Motion picture and video industries 1,885 3,086 1,201 63.71%
     5122 - Sound recording industries 112 114 2 1.79%
  515 - Broadcasting, except internet 5,086 6,145 1,059 20.82%
  517 - Telecommunications 15,599 13,154 -2,445 -15.67%
  518 - Data processing, hosting and related services 11,746 13,995 2,249 19.15%
  519 - Other information services 1,980 2,526 546 27.58%
     5191 - Other information services 1,980 2,526 546 27.58%
52 - Finance and Insurance
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
52 - Finance and insurance 138,373 143,736 5,363 3.88%
  522 - Credit intermediation and related activities 56,161 55,191 -970 -1.73%
  524 - Insurance carriers and related activities 62,087 67,376 5,289 8.52%
     5241 - Insurance carriers 31,198 32,242 1,044 3.35%
     5242 - Insurance agencies and brokerages 30,889 35,134 4,245 13.74%
53 - Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
53 - Real estate and rental and leasing 37,494 40,192 2,698 7.20%
  531 - Real estate 26,714 29,124 2,410 9.02%
  532 - Rental and leasing services 10,442 10,754 312 2.99%
  533 - Lessors of nonfinancial intangible assets 338 314 -24 -7.10%
     5331 - Lessors of nonfinancial intangible assets 338 314 -24 -7.10%
54 - Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
54 - Professional and technical services 161,311 185,273 23,962 14.85%
  541 - Professional and technical services 161,311 185,273 23,962 14.85%
     5411 - Legal services 20,585 21,672 1,087 5.28%
     5412 - Accounting and bookkeeping services 19,574 19,743 169 0.86%
     5413 - Architectural and engineering services 22,812 25,174 2,362 10.35%
     5414 - Specialized design services 1,924 2,059 135 7.02%
     5415 - Computer systems design and related services 45,201 55,925 10,724 23.73%
     5416 - Management and technical consulting services 19,063 23,179 4,116 21.59%
     5417 - Scientific research and development services 8,114 10,774 2,660 32.78%
     5418 - Advertising, pr, and related services 8,832 9,106 274 3.10%
     5419 - Other professional and technical services 15,206 17,641 2,435 16.01%
55 - Management of Companies and Enterprises
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
55 - Management of companies and enterprises 61,989 59,703 -2,286 -3.69%
  551 - Management of companies and enterprises 61,989 59,703 -2,286 -3.69%
     5511 - Management of companies and enterprises 61,989 59,703 -2,286 -3.69%
56 - Admin and Support and Waste Management
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
56 - Administrative and waste services 142,409 161,273 18,864 13.25%
  561 - Administrative and support services 135,455 153,381 17,926 13.23%
     5611 - Office administrative services 7,642 9,915 2,273 29.74%
     5612 - Facilities support services 2,270 2,820 550 24.23%
     5613 - Employment services 45,284 55,998 10,714 23.66%
     5614 - Business support services 18,501 17,073 -1,428 -7.72%
     5615 - Travel arrangement and reservation services 3,272 3,364 92 2.81%
     5616 - Investigation and security services 13,340 15,494 2,154 16.15%
     5617 - Services to buildings and dwellings 36,562 38,437 1,875 5.13%
     5619 - Other support services 8,584 10,280 1,696 19.76%
  562 - Waste management and remediation services 6,954 7,892 938 13.49%
     5621 - Waste collection 3,403 3,870 467 13.72%
     5622 - Waste treatment and disposal 912 1,009 97 10.64%
     5629 - Remediation and other waste services 2,639 3,013 374 14.17%
61 - Educational Services
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
61 - Educational services 225,848 240,630 14,782 6.55%
  611 - Educational services 225,848 240,630 14,782 6.55%
     6111 - Elementary and secondary schools 145,675 152,403 6,728 4.62%
     6112 - Junior colleges 10,523 10,191 -332 -3.16%
     6113 - Colleges and universities 58,485 64,408 5,923 10.13%
     6114 - Business, computer and management training 1,309 1,382 73 5.58%
     6115 - Technical and trade schools 2,525 2,810 285 11.29%
     6116 - Other schools and instruction 5,471 7,062 1,591 29.08%
     6117 - Educational support services 1,860 2,374 514 27.63%
62 - Health Care and Social Assistance
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
62 - Health care and social assistance 448,325 489,719 41,394 9.23%
  621 - Ambulatory health care services 116,684 129,171 12,487 10.70%
     6211 - Offices of physicians 41,733 45,968 4,235 10.15%
     6212 - Offices of dentists 14,294 16,912 2,618 18.32%
     6213 - Offices of other health practitioners 17,066 20,660 3,594 21.06%
     6214 - Outpatient care centers 15,364 17,767 2,403 15.64%
     6215 - Medical and diagnostic laboratories 3,503 3,363 -140 -4.00%
     6216 - Home health care services 18,605 17,143 -1,462 -7.86%
     6219 - Other ambulatory health care services 6,119 7,358 1,239 20.25%
  622 - Hospitals 160,507 173,313 12,806 7.98%
     6221 - General medical and surgical hospitals 145,204 154,656 9,452 6.51%
     6222 - Psychiatric and substance abuse hospitals 6,225 6,831 606 9.73%
     6223 - Other hospitals 9,078 11,826 2,748 30.27%
  623 - Nursing and residential care facilities 72,376 74,597 2,221 3.07%
     6231 - Nursing care facilities, skilled nursing 41,639 40,158 -1,481 -3.56%
     6232 - Residential mental health facilities 13,964 14,974 1,010 7.23%
     6233 - Continuing care, assisted living facilities 13,443 16,232 2,789 20.75%
     6239 - Other residential care facilities 3,330 3,233 -97 -2.91%
  624 - Social assistance 98,758 112,638 13,880 14.05%
     6241 - Individual and family services 66,257 75,579 9,322 14.07%
     6242 - Emergency and other relief services 3,479 3,928 449 12.91%
     6243 - Vocational rehabilitation services 9,322 9,996 674 7.23%
     6244 - Child day care services 19,700 23,135 3,435 17.44%
71 - Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
71 - Arts, entertainment, and recreation 32,151 42,159 10,008 31.13%
  711 - Performing arts and spectator sports 6,178 10,193 4,015 64.99%
     7111 - Performing arts companies 1,969 2,835 866 43.98%
     7112 - Spectator sports 1,953 3,477 1,524 78.03%
     7113 - Promoters of performing arts and sports 1,798 3,197 1,399 77.81%
     7114 - Agents and managers for public figures 62 62 0 0.00%
     7115 - Independent artists, writers, and performers 396 622 226 57.07%
  712 - Museums, historical sites, zoos, and parks 2,888 3,751 863 29.88%
     7121 - Museums, historical sites, zoos, and parks 2,888 3,751 863 29.88%
  713 - Amusements, gambling, and recreation 23,085 28,215 5,130 22.22%
     7131 - Amusement parks and arcades 2,936 4,364 1,428 48.64%
     7132 - Gambling industries 2,041 1,827 -214 -10.49%
     7139 - Other amusement and recreation industries 18,108 22,024 3,916 21.63%
72 - Accommodation and Food Services
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
72 - Accommodation and food services 221,131 273,291 52,160 23.59%
  721 - Accommodation 25,011 32,835 7,824 31.28%
     7211 - Traveler accommodation 23,334 30,628 7,294 31.26%
     7212 - Rv parks and recreational camps 1,464 1,988 524 35.79%
     7213 - Rooming and boarding houses 213 219 6 2.82%
  722 - Food services and drinking places 196,120 240,456 44,336 22.61%
     7223 - Special food services 10,805 15,286 4,481 41.47%
     7224 - Drinking places, alcoholic beverages 4,974 7,092 2,118 42.58%
81 - Other services
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
81 - Other services, except public administration 111,807 119,396 7,589 6.79%
  811 - Repair and maintenance 24,409 26,402 1,993 8.17%
     8111 - Automotive repair and maintenance 18,198 19,771 1,573 8.64%
     8112 - Electronic equipment repair and maintenance 1,324 1,147 -177 -13.37%
     8113 - Commercial machinery repair and maintenance 3,676 4,326 650 17.68%
     8114 - Household goods repair and maintenance 1,211 1,158 -53 -4.38%
  812 - Personal and laundry services 22,315 24,740 2,425 10.87%
     8121 - Personal care services 9,683 11,221 1,538 15.88%
     8122 - Death care services 3,038 2,957 -81 -2.67%
     8123 - Drycleaning and laundry services 4,460 4,160 -300 -6.73%
     8129 - Other personal services 5,134 6,402 1,268 24.70%
  813 - Membership associations and organizations 62,407 65,128 2,721 4.36%
     8131 - Religious organizations 41,681 41,316 -365 -0.88%
     8132 - Grantmaking and giving services 2,226 2,394 168 7.55%
     8133 - Social advocacy organizations 3,789 4,925 1,136 29.98%
     8134 - Civic and social organizations 5,938 7,657 1,719 28.95%
     8139 - Professional and similar organizations 8,773 8,836 63 0.72%
  814 - Private households 2,676 3,126 450 16.82%
     8141 - Private households 2,676 3,126 450 16.82%
90 to 93 - Government
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018
Employment
Projected 2028
Numeric
Change
Percent
Change
90 - Government, Total 206,846 205,099 -1,747 -0.84%
  91 - Federal government 57,807 56,289 -1,518 -2.63%
  92 - State government 47,418 45,680 -1,738 -3.67%
  93 - Local government 101,621 103,130 1,509 1.48%
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