Industry Employment Projections | Missouri Economic Research and Information Center

About Projections - Employment projections are a multi-step process. Historic industry employment trends and other factors are analyzed to project future industry employment. Industry staffing patterns are then used to estimate occupational employment projections. The occupational projections estimate the number of new, transfer, and exit jobs openings that are expected to occur over the projection period.

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Long-Term Projection 2020-2030

Missouri

Data produced by Missouri Economic Research and Information Center (MERIC). Funding provided by U.S. Department of Labor's Employment and Training Administration (ETA).
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
00 - All Industries	2,945,668	3,161,445	215,777	7.33%
11 - Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
11 - Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting	24,393	25,291	898	3.68%
111 - Crop production	12,954	14,138	1,184	9.14%
112 - Animal production and aquaculture	7,219	6,606	-613	-8.49%
113 - Forestry and logging	1,178	1,169	-9	-0.76%
114 - Fishing, hunting and trapping	20	23	3	15.00%
115 - Agriculture and forestry support activities	3,022	3,355	333	11.02%
21 - Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
21 - Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction	4,108	4,360	252	6.13%
212 - Mining, except oil and gas	3,817	4,037	220	5.76%
2123 - Nonmetallic mineral mining and quarrying	2,984	3,197	213	7.14%
22 - Utilities
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
22 - Utilities	11,681	11,088	-593	-5.08%
221 - Utilities	11,681	11,088	-593	-5.08%
2211 - Power generation and supply	7,756	7,340	-416	-5.36%
23 - Construction
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
23 - Construction	126,383	139,781	13,398	10.60%
236 - Construction of buildings	28,035	31,312	3,277	11.69%
2361 - Residential building construction	11,703	13,259	1,556	13.30%
2362 - Nonresidential building construction	16,332	18,053	1,721	10.54%
237 - Heavy and civil engineering construction	17,189	19,352	2,163	12.58%
2371 - Utility system construction	9,408	10,787	1,379	14.66%
2372 - Land subdivision	255	268	13	5.10%
2373 - Highway, street, and bridge construction	5,350	6,025	675	12.62%
2379 - Other heavy construction	2,176	2,272	96	4.41%
238 - Specialty trade contractors	81,159	89,117	7,958	9.81%
2381 - Building foundation and exterior contractors	16,628	17,567	939	5.65%
2382 - Building equipment contractors	36,817	41,552	4,735	12.86%
2383 - Building finishing contractors	14,101	15,400	1,299	9.21%
2389 - Other specialty trade contractors	13,613	14,598	985	7.24%
31 - Manufacturing
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
31 - Manufacturing	266,445	276,673	10,228	3.84%
311 - Food manufacturing	41,893	44,615	2,722	6.50%
3111 - Animal food manufacturing	5,053	5,671	618	12.23%
3112 - Grain and oilseed milling	2,508	2,639	131	5.22%
3113 - Sugar and confectionery product manufacturing	524	494	-30	-5.73%
3114 - Fruit and vegetable preserving and specialty	2,677	2,649	-28	-1.05%
3115 - Dairy product manufacturing	5,557	5,732	175	3.15%
3116 - Animal slaughtering and processing	18,682	20,871	2,189	11.72%
3118 - Bakeries and tortilla manufacturing	3,455	3,222	-233	-6.74%
3119 - Other food manufacturing	3,437	3,337	-100	-2.91%
312 - Beverage and tobacco product manufacturing	5,734	6,368	634	11.06%
313 - Textile mills	273	267	-6	-2.20%
314 - Textile product mills	1,804	1,740	-64	-3.55%
315 - Apparel manufacturing	1,463	834	-629	-42.99%
316 - Leather and allied product manufacturing	853	611	-242	-28.37%
321 - Wood product manufacturing	7,250	7,402	152	2.10%
3211 - Sawmills and wood preservation	1,971	1,988	17	0.86%
3212 - Plywood and engineered wood product mfg.	621	756	135	21.74%
3219 - Other wood product manufacturing	4,658	4,658	0	0.00%
322 - Paper manufacturing	6,860	6,137	-723	-10.54%
323 - Printing and related support activities	10,010	8,105	-1,905	-19.03%
324 - Petroleum and coal products manufacturing	1,374	1,473	99	7.21%
325 - Chemical manufacturing	20,271	20,703	432	2.13%
326 - Plastics and rubber products manufacturing	16,325	16,285	-40	-0.25%
3261 - Plastics product manufacturing	13,696	13,789	93	0.68%
3262 - Rubber product manufacturing	2,629	2,496	-133	-5.06%
327 - Nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing	8,068	7,718	-350	-4.34%
331 - Primary metal manufacturing	6,857	6,908	51	0.74%
3311 - Iron and steel mills and ferroalloy mfg.	312	361	49	15.71%
3312 - Steel product mfg. from purchased steel	1,406	1,365	-41	-2.92%
3313 - Alumina and aluminum production	1,288	1,199	-89	-6.91%
3314 - Other nonferrous metal production	1,216	1,213	-3	-0.25%
3315 - Foundries	2,635	2,770	135	5.12%
332 - Fabricated metal product manufacturing	29,609	30,891	1,282	4.33%
333 - Machinery manufacturing	25,812	27,680	1,868	7.24%
334 - Computer and electronic product manufacturing	11,888	13,593	1,705	14.34%
3342 - Communications equipment manufacturing	1,132	1,394	262	23.14%
3344 - Semiconductor and electronic component mfg.	7,502	8,897	1,395	18.60%
3345 - Electronic instrument manufacturing	2,948	3,001	53	1.80%
3346 - Magnetic media manufacturing and reproducing	97	90	-7	-7.22%
335 - Electrical equipment and appliance mfg.	10,520	11,022	502	4.77%
3353 - Electrical equipment manufacturing	3,826	3,943	117	3.06%
3359 - Other electrical equipment and component mfg.	5,910	6,338	428	7.24%
336 - Transportation equipment manufacturing	44,156	47,504	3,348	7.58%
3362 - Motor vehicle body and trailer manufacturing	2,442	2,288	-154	-6.31%
3363 - Motor vehicle parts manufacturing	9,296	9,352	56	0.60%
3364 - Aerospace product and parts manufacturing	17,814	17,088	-726	-4.08%
3366 - Ship and boat building	2,483	3,225	742	29.88%
3369 - Other transportation equipment manufacturing	849	1,577	728	85.75%
337 - Furniture and related product manufacturing	7,046	7,721	675	9.58%
339 - Miscellaneous manufacturing	8,379	9,096	717	8.56%
3391 - Medical equipment and supplies manufacturing	3,656	3,733	77	2.11%
3399 - Other miscellaneous manufacturing	4,723	5,363	640	13.55%
42 - Wholesale Trade
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
42 - Wholesale trade	120,092	128,880	8,788	7.32%
423 - Merchant wholesalers, durable goods	67,646	73,209	5,563	8.22%
424 - Merchant wholesalers, nondurable goods	40,732	42,672	1,940	4.76%
425 - Electronic markets and agents and brokers	11,714	12,999	1,285	10.97%
4251 - Electronic markets and agents and brokers	11,714	12,999	1,285	10.97%
44 - Retail Trade
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
44 - Retail trade	291,843	284,505	-7,338	-2.51%
441 - Motor vehicle and parts dealers	39,625	41,181	1,556	3.93%
4411 - Automobile dealers	24,608	25,165	557	2.26%
4412 - Other motor vehicle dealers	3,204	3,543	339	10.58%
4413 - Auto parts, accessories, and tire stores	11,813	12,473	660	5.59%
442 - Furniture and home furnishings stores	6,919	7,157	238	3.44%
4421 - Furniture stores	3,243	3,302	59	1.82%
4422 - Home furnishings stores	3,676	3,855	179	4.87%
443 - Electronics and appliance stores	6,238	5,165	-1,073	-17.20%
444 - Building material and garden supply stores	30,355	31,393	1,038	3.42%
4441 - Building material and supplies dealers	25,629	26,569	940	3.67%
4442 - Lawn and garden equipment and supplies stores	4,726	4,824	98	2.07%
445 - Food and beverage stores	45,412	41,642	-3,770	-8.30%
446 - Health and personal care stores	18,577	18,586	9	0.05%
4461 - Health and personal care stores	18,577	18,586	9	0.05%
447 - Gasoline stations	28,448	27,518	-930	-3.27%
448 - Clothing and clothing accessories stores	13,568	14,099	531	3.91%
4481 - Clothing stores	9,748	10,375	627	6.43%
4482 - Shoe stores	2,398	2,322	-76	-3.17%
4483 - Jewelry, luggage, and leather goods stores	1,422	1,402	-20	-1.41%
451 - Sports, hobby, music instrument, book stores	9,397	8,683	-714	-7.60%
4511 - Sporting goods and musical instrument stores	8,375	8,011	-364	-4.35%
4512 - Book stores and news dealers	1,022	672	-350	-34.25%
452 - General merchandise stores	67,992	63,477	-4,515	-6.64%
453 - Miscellaneous store retailers	13,777	12,164	-1,613	-11.71%
454 - Nonstore retailers	11,535	13,440	1,905	16.52%
4541 - Electronic shopping and mail-order houses	8,678	10,740	2,062	23.76%
4542 - Vending machine operators	855	909	54	6.32%
4543 - Direct selling establishments	2,002	1,791	-211	-10.54%
48 - Transportation and Warehousing
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
48 - Transportation and warehousing	104,504	122,037	17,533	16.78%
481 - Air transportation	3,744	3,767	23	0.61%
4811 - Scheduled air transportation	3,379	3,363	-16	-0.47%
4812 - Nonscheduled air transportation	365	404	39	10.68%
482 - Rail transportation	6,662	6,899	237	3.56%
4821 - Rail transportation	6,662	6,899	237	3.56%
483 - Water transportation	372	345	-27	-7.26%
484 - Truck transportation	38,306	41,077	2,771	7.23%
485 - Transit and ground passenger transportation	7,606	8,962	1,356	17.83%
4852 - Interurban and rural bus transportation	281	314	33	11.74%
4853 - Taxi and limousine service	485	528	43	8.87%
4854 - School and employee bus transportation	3,482	4,016	534	15.34%
4859 - Other ground passenger transportation	2,074	2,692	618	29.80%
486 - Pipeline transportation	353	392	39	11.05%
4869 - Other pipeline transportation	196	210	14	7.14%
487 - Scenic and sightseeing transportation	251	361	110	43.82%
4871 - Scenic and sightseeing transportation, land	110	143	33	30.00%
488 - Support activities for transportation	11,689	14,549	2,860	24.47%
4881 - Support activities for air transportation	2,529	3,066	537	21.23%
4882 - Support activities for rail transportation	1,292	1,255	-37	-2.86%
4883 - Support activities for water transportation	577	584	7	1.21%
4884 - Support activities for road transportation	1,906	2,626	720	37.78%
4885 - Freight transportation arrangement	5,195	6,848	1,653	31.82%
4889 - Other support activities for transportation	190	170	-20	-10.53%
4911 - Postal service	14,671	13,447	-1,224	-8.34%
492 - Couriers and messengers	14,853	19,263	4,410	29.69%
4921 - Couriers and express delivery services	12,606	16,596	3,990	31.65%
4922 - Local messengers and local delivery	2,247	2,667	420	18.69%
493 - Warehousing and storage	20,668	26,422	5,754	27.84%
51 - Information
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
51 - Information	45,133	47,311	2,178	4.83%
511 - Publishing industries, except internet	8,725	8,291	-434	-4.97%
5111 - Newspaper, book, and directory publishers	4,963	3,909	-1,054	-21.24%
5112 - Software publishers	3,762	4,382	620	16.48%
512 - Motion picture and sound recording industries	1,997	3,200	1,203	60.24%
5121 - Motion picture and video industries	1,885	3,086	1,201	63.71%
5122 - Sound recording industries	112	114	2	1.79%
515 - Broadcasting, except internet	5,086	6,145	1,059	20.82%
517 - Telecommunications	15,599	13,154	-2,445	-15.67%
518 - Data processing, hosting and related services	11,746	13,995	2,249	19.15%
519 - Other information services	1,980	2,526	546	27.58%
5191 - Other information services	1,980	2,526	546	27.58%
52 - Finance and Insurance
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
52 - Finance and insurance	138,373	143,736	5,363	3.88%
522 - Credit intermediation and related activities	56,161	55,191	-970	-1.73%
524 - Insurance carriers and related activities	62,087	67,376	5,289	8.52%
5241 - Insurance carriers	31,198	32,242	1,044	3.35%
5242 - Insurance agencies and brokerages	30,889	35,134	4,245	13.74%
53 - Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
53 - Real estate and rental and leasing	37,494	40,192	2,698	7.20%
531 - Real estate	26,714	29,124	2,410	9.02%
532 - Rental and leasing services	10,442	10,754	312	2.99%
533 - Lessors of nonfinancial intangible assets	338	314	-24	-7.10%
5331 - Lessors of nonfinancial intangible assets	338	314	-24	-7.10%
54 - Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
54 - Professional and technical services	161,311	185,273	23,962	14.85%
541 - Professional and technical services	161,311	185,273	23,962	14.85%
5411 - Legal services	20,585	21,672	1,087	5.28%
5412 - Accounting and bookkeeping services	19,574	19,743	169	0.86%
5413 - Architectural and engineering services	22,812	25,174	2,362	10.35%
5414 - Specialized design services	1,924	2,059	135	7.02%
5415 - Computer systems design and related services	45,201	55,925	10,724	23.73%
5416 - Management and technical consulting services	19,063	23,179	4,116	21.59%
5417 - Scientific research and development services	8,114	10,774	2,660	32.78%
5418 - Advertising, pr, and related services	8,832	9,106	274	3.10%
5419 - Other professional and technical services	15,206	17,641	2,435	16.01%
55 - Management of Companies and Enterprises
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
55 - Management of companies and enterprises	61,989	59,703	-2,286	-3.69%
551 - Management of companies and enterprises	61,989	59,703	-2,286	-3.69%
5511 - Management of companies and enterprises	61,989	59,703	-2,286	-3.69%
56 - Admin and Support and Waste Management
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
56 - Administrative and waste services	142,409	161,273	18,864	13.25%
561 - Administrative and support services	135,455	153,381	17,926	13.23%
5611 - Office administrative services	7,642	9,915	2,273	29.74%
5612 - Facilities support services	2,270	2,820	550	24.23%
5613 - Employment services	45,284	55,998	10,714	23.66%
5614 - Business support services	18,501	17,073	-1,428	-7.72%
5615 - Travel arrangement and reservation services	3,272	3,364	92	2.81%
5616 - Investigation and security services	13,340	15,494	2,154	16.15%
5617 - Services to buildings and dwellings	36,562	38,437	1,875	5.13%
5619 - Other support services	8,584	10,280	1,696	19.76%
562 - Waste management and remediation services	6,954	7,892	938	13.49%
5621 - Waste collection	3,403	3,870	467	13.72%
5622 - Waste treatment and disposal	912	1,009	97	10.64%
5629 - Remediation and other waste services	2,639	3,013	374	14.17%
61 - Educational Services
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
61 - Educational services	225,848	240,630	14,782	6.55%
611 - Educational services	225,848	240,630	14,782	6.55%
6111 - Elementary and secondary schools	145,675	152,403	6,728	4.62%
6112 - Junior colleges	10,523	10,191	-332	-3.16%
6113 - Colleges and universities	58,485	64,408	5,923	10.13%
6114 - Business, computer and management training	1,309	1,382	73	5.58%
6115 - Technical and trade schools	2,525	2,810	285	11.29%
6116 - Other schools and instruction	5,471	7,062	1,591	29.08%
6117 - Educational support services	1,860	2,374	514	27.63%
62 - Health Care and Social Assistance
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
62 - Health care and social assistance	448,325	489,719	41,394	9.23%
621 - Ambulatory health care services	116,684	129,171	12,487	10.70%
6211 - Offices of physicians	41,733	45,968	4,235	10.15%
6212 - Offices of dentists	14,294	16,912	2,618	18.32%
6213 - Offices of other health practitioners	17,066	20,660	3,594	21.06%
6214 - Outpatient care centers	15,364	17,767	2,403	15.64%
6215 - Medical and diagnostic laboratories	3,503	3,363	-140	-4.00%
6216 - Home health care services	18,605	17,143	-1,462	-7.86%
6219 - Other ambulatory health care services	6,119	7,358	1,239	20.25%
622 - Hospitals	160,507	173,313	12,806	7.98%
6221 - General medical and surgical hospitals	145,204	154,656	9,452	6.51%
6222 - Psychiatric and substance abuse hospitals	6,225	6,831	606	9.73%
6223 - Other hospitals	9,078	11,826	2,748	30.27%
623 - Nursing and residential care facilities	72,376	74,597	2,221	3.07%
6231 - Nursing care facilities, skilled nursing	41,639	40,158	-1,481	-3.56%
6232 - Residential mental health facilities	13,964	14,974	1,010	7.23%
6233 - Continuing care, assisted living facilities	13,443	16,232	2,789	20.75%
6239 - Other residential care facilities	3,330	3,233	-97	-2.91%
624 - Social assistance	98,758	112,638	13,880	14.05%
6241 - Individual and family services	66,257	75,579	9,322	14.07%
6242 - Emergency and other relief services	3,479	3,928	449	12.91%
6243 - Vocational rehabilitation services	9,322	9,996	674	7.23%
6244 - Child day care services	19,700	23,135	3,435	17.44%
71 - Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
71 - Arts, entertainment, and recreation	32,151	42,159	10,008	31.13%
711 - Performing arts and spectator sports	6,178	10,193	4,015	64.99%
7111 - Performing arts companies	1,969	2,835	866	43.98%
7112 - Spectator sports	1,953	3,477	1,524	78.03%
7113 - Promoters of performing arts and sports	1,798	3,197	1,399	77.81%
7114 - Agents and managers for public figures	62	62	0	0.00%
7115 - Independent artists, writers, and performers	396	622	226	57.07%
712 - Museums, historical sites, zoos, and parks	2,888	3,751	863	29.88%
7121 - Museums, historical sites, zoos, and parks	2,888	3,751	863	29.88%
713 - Amusements, gambling, and recreation	23,085	28,215	5,130	22.22%
7131 - Amusement parks and arcades	2,936	4,364	1,428	48.64%
7132 - Gambling industries	2,041	1,827	-214	-10.49%
7139 - Other amusement and recreation industries	18,108	22,024	3,916	21.63%
72 - Accommodation and Food Services
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
72 - Accommodation and food services	221,131	273,291	52,160	23.59%
721 - Accommodation	25,011	32,835	7,824	31.28%
7211 - Traveler accommodation	23,334	30,628	7,294	31.26%
7212 - Rv parks and recreational camps	1,464	1,988	524	35.79%
7213 - Rooming and boarding houses	213	219	6	2.82%
722 - Food services and drinking places	196,120	240,456	44,336	22.61%
7223 - Special food services	10,805	15,286	4,481	41.47%
7224 - Drinking places, alcoholic beverages	4,974	7,092	2,118	42.58%
81 - Other services
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
81 - Other services, except public administration	111,807	119,396	7,589	6.79%
811 - Repair and maintenance	24,409	26,402	1,993	8.17%
8111 - Automotive repair and maintenance	18,198	19,771	1,573	8.64%
8112 - Electronic equipment repair and maintenance	1,324	1,147	-177	-13.37%
8113 - Commercial machinery repair and maintenance	3,676	4,326	650	17.68%
8114 - Household goods repair and maintenance	1,211	1,158	-53	-4.38%
812 - Personal and laundry services	22,315	24,740	2,425	10.87%
8121 - Personal care services	9,683	11,221	1,538	15.88%
8122 - Death care services	3,038	2,957	-81	-2.67%
8123 - Drycleaning and laundry services	4,460	4,160	-300	-6.73%
8129 - Other personal services	5,134	6,402	1,268	24.70%
813 - Membership associations and organizations	62,407	65,128	2,721	4.36%
8131 - Religious organizations	41,681	41,316	-365	-0.88%
8132 - Grantmaking and giving services	2,226	2,394	168	7.55%
8133 - Social advocacy organizations	3,789	4,925	1,136	29.98%
8134 - Civic and social organizations	5,938	7,657	1,719	28.95%
8139 - Professional and similar organizations	8,773	8,836	63	0.72%
814 - Private households	2,676	3,126	450	16.82%
8141 - Private households	2,676	3,126	450	16.82%
90 to 93 - Government
Industry	Employment Estimated 2020	Employment Projected 2030	Numeric Change	Percent Change
90 - Government, Total	206,846	205,099	-1,747	-0.84%
91 - Federal government	57,807	56,289	-1,518	-2.63%
92 - State government	47,418	45,680	-1,738	-3.67%
93 - Local government	101,621	103,130	1,509	1.48%

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