Industry Employment Projections

 

About Projections - Employment projections are a multi-step process. Historic industry employment trends and other factors are analyzed to project future industry employment. Industry staffing patterns are then used to estimate occupational employment projections. The occupational projections estimate the number of new, transfer, and exit jobs openings that are expected to occur over the projection period.

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Long-Term Projection 2022-2032

Missouri

Data produced by Missouri Economic Research and Information Center (MERIC). Funding provided by U.S. Department of Labor's Employment and Training Administration (ETA).
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
00 - All Industries 3,134,123 3,270,283 136,160 4.34%
11 - Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
11 - Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 25,213 27,621 2,408 9.55%
  111 - Crop production 12,852 13,443 591 4.60%
  112 - Animal production and aquaculture 7,751 9,177 1,426 18.40%
  113 - Forestry and logging 1,156 1,406 250 21.63%
  114 - Fishing, hunting and trapping 354 107 -247 -69.77%
  115 - Agriculture and forestry support activities 3,100 3,488 388 12.52%
21 - Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
21 - Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 4,195 4,238 43 1.03%
  212 - Mining, except oil and gas 3,932 3,981 49 1.25%
     2123 - Nonmetallic mineral mining and quarrying 3,072 3,132 60 1.95%
  213 - Support activities for mining 244 249 5 2.05%
     2131 - Support activities for mining 244 249 5 2.05%
22 - Utilities
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
22 - Utilities 11,608 11,726 118 1.02%
  221 - Utilities 11,608 11,726 118 1.02%
     2211 - Power generation and supply 7,618 7,834 216 2.84%
     2212 - Natural gas distribution 2,576 2,429 -147 -5.71%
     2213 - Water, sewage and other systems 1,414 1,463 49 3.47%
23 - Construction
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
23 - Construction 138,872 145,221 6,349 4.57%
  236 - Construction of buildings 30,599 33,160 2,561 8.37%
     2361 - Residential building construction 13,226 15,090 1,864 14.09%
     2362 - Nonresidential building construction 17,373 18,070 697 4.01%
  237 - Heavy and civil engineering construction 18,569 19,694 1,125 6.06%
     2371 - Utility system construction 10,315 11,075 760 7.37%
     2372 - Land subdivision 292 258 -34 -11.64%
     2373 - Highway, street, and bridge construction 5,707 5,886 179 3.14%
     2379 - Other heavy construction 2,255 2,475 220 9.76%
  238 - Specialty trade contractors 89,704 92,367 2,663 2.97%
     2381 - Building foundation and exterior contractors 17,211 17,603 392 2.28%
     2382 - Building equipment contractors 42,094 43,412 1,318 3.13%
     2383 - Building finishing contractors 15,540 15,825 285 1.83%
     2389 - Other specialty trade contractors 14,859 15,527 668 4.50%
31 - Manufacturing
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
31 - Manufacturing 282,238 286,536 4,298 1.52%
  311 - Food manufacturing 42,836 44,865 2,029 4.74%
     3111 - Animal food manufacturing 5,318 5,526 208 3.91%
     3112 - Grain and oilseed milling 2,586 2,761 175 6.77%
     3114 - Fruit and vegetable preserving and specialty 3,658 3,918 260 7.11%
     3115 - Dairy product manufacturing 5,748 5,243 -505 -8.79%
     3116 - Animal slaughtering and processing 17,337 19,304 1,967 11.35%
     3118 - Bakeries and tortilla manufacturing 3,414 2,931 -483 -14.15%
     3119 - Other food manufacturing 4,151 4,547 396 9.54%
  312 - Beverage and tobacco product manufacturing 6,835 7,649 814 11.91%
  313 - Textile mills 304 277 -27 -8.88%
     3133 - Textile and fabric finishing mills 233 188 -45 -19.31%
  314 - Textile product mills 1,663 1,185 -478 -28.74%
     3141 - Textile furnishings mills 119 42 -77 -64.71%
     3149 - Other textile product mills 1,544 1,143 -401 -25.97%
  315 - Apparel manufacturing 1,782 1,384 -398 -22.33%
     3159 - Accessories and other apparel manufacturing 887 906 19 2.14%
  316 - Leather and allied product manufacturing 1,045 961 -84 -8.04%
     3169 - Other leather product manufacturing 282 265 -17 -6.03%
  321 - Wood product manufacturing 7,041 6,973 -68 -0.97%
     3211 - Sawmills and wood preservation 2,020 1,991 -29 -1.44%
     3212 - Plywood and engineered wood product mfg. 616 644 28 4.55%
     3219 - Other wood product manufacturing 4,405 4,338 -67 -1.52%
  322 - Paper manufacturing 7,101 7,357 256 3.61%
  323 - Printing and related support activities 10,071 9,884 -187 -1.86%
     3231 - Printing and related support activities 10,071 9,884 -187 -1.86%
  324 - Petroleum and coal products manufacturing 1,461 1,369 -92 -6.30%
     3241 - Petroleum and coal products manufacturing 1,461 1,369 -92 -6.30%
  325 - Chemical manufacturing 22,275 24,297 2,022 9.08%
     3254 - Pharmaceutical and medicine manufacturing 6,831 7,020 189 2.77%
  326 - Plastics and rubber products manufacturing 17,048 17,076 28 0.16%
     3261 - Plastics product manufacturing 14,134 14,865 731 5.17%
     3262 - Rubber product manufacturing 2,914 2,211 -703 -24.12%
  327 - Nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing 8,119 8,497 378 4.66%
  331 - Primary metal manufacturing 7,265 7,237 -28 -0.39%
     3312 - Steel product mfg. from purchased steel 1,485 1,906 421 28.35%
     3313 - Alumina and aluminum production 1,275 775 -500 -39.22%
     3315 - Foundries 3,044 3,076 32 1.05%
  332 - Fabricated metal product manufacturing 31,207 30,873 -334 -1.07%
     3327 - Machine shops and threaded product mfg. 4,215 4,459 244 5.79%
     3328 - Coating, engraving, and heat treating metals 2,334 1,801 -533 -22.84%
  333 - Machinery manufacturing 28,671 29,105 434 1.51%
     3333 - Commercial and service industry machinery 2,842 2,992 150 5.28%
     3335 - Metalworking machinery manufacturing 5,034 5,143 109 2.17%
     3336 - Turbine and power transmission equipment mfg. 3,601 3,359 -242 -6.72%
  334 - Computer and electronic product manufacturing 13,212 16,606 3,394 25.69%
     3341 - Computer and peripheral equipment mfg. 182 265 83 45.60%
     3342 - Communications equipment manufacturing 1,273 1,162 -111 -8.72%
     3344 - Semiconductor and electronic component mfg. 8,420 11,802 3,382 40.17%
     3345 - Electronic instrument manufacturing 3,186 3,274 88 2.76%
  335 - Electrical equipment and appliance mfg. 11,267 10,708 -559 -4.96%
     3353 - Electrical equipment manufacturing 4,057 3,296 -761 -18.76%
     3359 - Other electrical equipment and component mfg. 6,355 6,627 272 4.28%
  336 - Transportation equipment manufacturing 46,288 43,751 -2,537 -5.48%
     3362 - Motor vehicle body and trailer manufacturing 2,682 2,244 -438 -16.33%
     3363 - Motor vehicle parts manufacturing 10,044 7,897 -2,147 -21.38%
     3365 - Railroad rolling stock manufacturing 383 370 -13 -3.39%
     3366 - Ship and boat building 3,112 3,437 325 10.44%
     3369 - Other transportation equipment manufacturing 1,149 1,197 48 4.18%
  337 - Furniture and related product manufacturing 7,571 7,055 -516 -6.82%
     3379 - Other furniture related product manufacturing 106 86 -20 -18.87%
  339 - Miscellaneous manufacturing 9,176 9,427 251 2.74%
     3391 - Medical equipment and supplies manufacturing 3,917 4,032 115 2.94%
     3399 - Other miscellaneous manufacturing 5,259 5,395 136 2.59%
42 - Wholesale Trade
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
42 - Wholesale trade 125,336 122,750 -2,586 -2.06%
  423 - Merchant wholesalers, durable goods 71,890 70,389 -1,501 -2.09%
     4231 - Motor vehicle and parts merchant wholesalers 10,828 10,548 -280 -2.59%
     4234 - Commercial equip. merchant wholesalers 14,288 14,618 330 2.31%
     4238 - Machinery and supply merchant wholesalers 16,049 15,144 -905 -5.64%
  424 - Merchant wholesalers, nondurable goods 42,562 43,486 924 2.17%
     4243 - Apparel and piece goods merchant wholesalers 1,103 977 -126 -11.42%
     4245 - Farm product raw material merch. whls. 2,158 1,824 -334 -15.48%
  425 - Electronic markets and agents and brokers 10,884 8,875 -2,009 -18.46%
     4251 - Electronic markets and agents and brokers 10,884 8,875 -2,009 -18.46%
44 - Retail Trade
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
44 - Retail trade 303,707 306,607 2,900 0.95%
  441 - Motor vehicle and parts dealers 41,599 42,335 736 1.77%
     4411 - Automobile dealers 25,102 25,591 489 1.95%
     4412 - Other motor vehicle dealers 3,604 3,660 56 1.55%
     4413 - Auto parts, accessories, and tire stores 12,893 13,084 191 1.48%
  444 - Building material and garden supply stores 31,378 32,606 1,228 3.91%
     4441 - Building material and supplies dealers 26,159 27,233 1,074 4.11%
     4442 - Lawn and garden equipment and supplies stores 5,219 5,373 154 2.95%
  445 - Food and beverage stores 45,978 44,988 -990 -2.15%
     4453 - Beer, wine, and liquor stores 2,182 2,400 218 9.99%
48 - Transportation and Warehousing
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
48 - Transportation and warehousing 117,392 127,262 9,870 8.41%
  481 - Air transportation 3,120 3,246 126 4.04%
     4811 - Scheduled air transportation 2,747 2,861 114 4.15%
     4812 - Nonscheduled air transportation 373 385 12 3.22%
  482 - Rail transportation 7,003 6,686 -317 -4.53%
     4821 - Rail transportation 7,003 6,686 -317 -4.53%
  484 - Truck transportation 41,908 42,221 313 0.75%
  485 - Transit and ground passenger transportation 8,074 8,301 227 2.81%
     4852 - Interurban and rural bus transportation 306 257 -49 -16.01%
     4853 - Taxi and limousine service 525 416 -109 -20.76%
     4854 - School and employee bus transportation 3,777 3,507 -270 -7.15%
     4859 - Other ground passenger transportation 1,966 2,187 221 11.24%
  486 - Pipeline transportation 342 388 46 13.45%
     4869 - Other pipeline transportation 182 225 43 23.63%
  488 - Support activities for transportation 14,296 15,814 1,518 10.62%
     4881 - Support activities for air transportation 3,540 3,663 123 3.47%
     4882 - Support activities for rail transportation 1,295 1,450 155 11.97%
     4883 - Support activities for water transportation 516 524 8 1.55%
     4884 - Support activities for road transportation 2,215 2,343 128 5.78%
     4885 - Freight transportation arrangement 6,358 7,402 1,044 16.42%
     4889 - Other support activities for transportation 372 432 60 16.13%
     4911 - Postal service 14,544 13,534 -1,010 -6.94%
  492 - Couriers and messengers 16,887 20,551 3,664 21.70%
     4921 - Couriers and express delivery services 14,529 17,787 3,258 22.42%
     4922 - Local messengers and local delivery 2,358 2,764 406 17.22%
  493 - Warehousing and storage 25,020 29,191 4,171 16.67%
     4931 - Warehousing and storage 25,020 29,191 4,171 16.67%
51 - Information
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
51 - Information 47,821 48,533 712 1.49%
  512 - Motion picture and sound recording industries 2,881 2,170 -711 -24.68%
     5121 - Motion picture and video industries 2,744 2,019 -725 -26.42%
     5122 - Sound recording industries 137 151 14 10.22%
  516 - Broadcasting and content providers 5,848 5,842 -6 -0.10%
     5161 - Radio and television broadcasting stations 1,950 1,861 -89 -4.56%
  517 - Telecommunications 14,081 12,961 -1,120 -7.95%
  518 - Data processing, hosting and related services 13,645 15,558 1,913 14.02%
     5182 - Data processing, hosting and related services 13,645 15,558 1,913 14.02%
  519 - Web search portals, libraries, archives, and other information services 571 716 145 25.39%
52 - Finance and Insurance
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
52 - Finance and insurance 157,812 167,853 10,041 6.36%
  522 - Credit intermediation and related activities 57,433 58,566 1,133 1.97%
     5222 - Nondepository credit intermediation 13,162 14,424 1,262 9.59%
  523 - Securities, commodity contracts, investments 17,705 21,405 3,700 20.90%
  524 - Insurance carriers and related activities 79,702 84,352 4,650 5.83%
     5241 - Insurance carriers 46,135 46,841 706 1.53%
     5242 - Insurance agencies and brokerages 33,567 37,511 3,944 11.75%
53 - Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
53 - Real estate and rental and leasing 42,732 48,883 6,151 14.39%
  531 - Real estate 30,024 35,953 5,929 19.75%
  532 - Rental and leasing services 12,389 12,555 166 1.34%
     5321 - Automotive equipment rental and leasing 4,743 4,844 101 2.13%
  533 - Lessors of nonfinancial intangible assets 319 375 56 17.55%
     5331 - Lessors of nonfinancial intangible assets 319 375 56 17.55%
54 - Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
54 - Professional and technical services 171,077 191,278 20,201 11.81%
  541 - Professional and technical services 171,077 191,278 20,201 11.81%
     5411 - Legal services 21,128 21,371 243 1.15%
     5412 - Accounting and bookkeeping services 20,854 20,877 23 0.11%
     5413 - Architectural and engineering services 24,378 26,294 1,916 7.86%
     5414 - Specialized design services 2,198 2,378 180 8.19%
     5415 - Computer systems design and related services 45,013 54,889 9,876 21.94%
     5416 - Management and technical consulting services 22,587 25,052 2,465 10.91%
     5417 - Scientific research and development services 8,561 9,824 1,263 14.75%
     5418 - Advertising, pr, and related services 9,772 10,961 1,189 12.17%
     5419 - Other professional and technical services 16,586 19,632 3,046 18.36%
55 - Management of Companies and Enterprises
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
55 - Management of companies and enterprises 59,607 65,380 5,773 9.69%
  551 - Management of companies and enterprises 59,607 65,380 5,773 9.69%
     5511 - Management of companies and enterprises 59,607 65,380 5,773 9.69%
56 - Admin and Support and Waste Management
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
56 - Administrative and waste services 152,349 160,483 8,134 5.34%
  561 - Administrative and support services 144,852 152,077 7,225 4.99%
     5611 - Office administrative services 7,947 11,133 3,186 40.09%
     5612 - Facilities support services 2,121 2,519 398 18.76%
     5613 - Employment services 53,801 55,444 1,643 3.05%
     5614 - Business support services 16,946 15,590 -1,356 -8.00%
     5615 - Travel arrangement and reservation services 3,776 3,678 -98 -2.60%
     5616 - Investigation and security services 13,220 14,670 1,450 10.97%
     5617 - Services to buildings and dwellings 37,697 38,371 674 1.79%
     5619 - Other support services 9,344 10,672 1,328 14.21%
  562 - Waste management and remediation services 7,497 8,406 909 12.12%
     5621 - Waste collection 3,535 3,865 330 9.34%
     5622 - Waste treatment and disposal 1,092 1,407 315 28.85%
     5629 - Remediation and other waste services 2,870 3,134 264 9.20%
61 - Educational Services
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
61 - Educational services 241,954 247,039 5,085 2.10%
  611 - Educational services 241,954 247,039 5,085 2.10%
     6111 - Elementary and secondary schools 152,938 155,148 2,210 1.45%
     6112 - Junior colleges 10,506 10,450 -56 -0.53%
     6113 - Colleges and universities 57,434 60,246 2,812 4.90%
     6114 - Business, computer and management training 9,680 9,755 75 0.77%
     6115 - Technical and trade schools 2,484 2,673 189 7.61%
     6116 - Other schools and instruction 6,302 6,084 -218 -3.46%
     6117 - Educational support services 2,610 2,683 73 2.80%
62 - Health Care and Social Assistance
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
62 - Health care and social assistance 457,188 503,626 46,438 10.16%
  621 - Ambulatory health care services 123,174 135,398 12,224 9.92%
     6211 - Offices of physicians 43,641 45,440 1,799 4.12%
     6212 - Offices of dentists 16,014 16,339 325 2.03%
     6213 - Offices of other health practitioners 19,679 22,706 3,027 15.38%
     6214 - Outpatient care centers 16,148 19,214 3,066 18.99%
     6215 - Medical and diagnostic laboratories 3,496 4,109 613 17.53%
     6216 - Home health care services 17,627 20,536 2,909 16.50%
     6219 - Other ambulatory health care services 6,569 7,054 485 7.38%
  622 - Hospitals 164,173 184,961 20,788 12.66%
     6221 - General medical and surgical hospitals 143,053 158,027 14,974 10.47%
     6222 - Psychiatric and substance abuse hospitals 5,894 6,019 125 2.12%
     6223 - Other hospitals 15,226 20,915 5,689 37.36%
  623 - Nursing and residential care facilities 66,441 69,182 2,741 4.13%
     6231 - Nursing care facilities, skilled nursing 36,402 36,369 -33 -0.09%
     6232 - Residential mental health facilities 13,663 14,482 819 5.99%
     6233 - Continuing care, assisted living facilities 13,428 15,095 1,667 12.41%
     6239 - Other residential care facilities 2,948 3,236 288 9.77%
  624 - Social assistance 103,400 114,085 10,685 10.33%
     6241 - Individual and family services 68,719 78,731 10,012 14.57%
     6242 - Emergency and other relief services 4,124 4,337 213 5.16%
     6243 - Vocational rehabilitation services 4,895 4,349 -546 -11.15%
     6244 - Child day care services 25,662 26,668 1,006 3.92%
71 - Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
71 - Arts, entertainment, and recreation 42,947 42,385 -562 -1.31%
  711 - Performing arts and spectator sports 10,549 11,317 768 7.28%
     7111 - Performing arts companies 2,965 2,924 -41 -1.38%
     7112 - Spectator sports 3,450 4,269 819 23.74%
     7113 - Promoters of performing arts and sports 3,488 3,635 147 4.21%
     7114 - Agents and managers for public figures 84 82 -2 -2.38%
     7115 - Independent artists, writers, and performers 562 407 -155 -27.58%
  712 - Museums, historical sites, zoos, and parks 3,626 3,277 -349 -9.62%
     7121 - Museums, historical sites, zoos, and parks 3,626 3,277 -349 -9.62%
  713 - Amusements, gambling, and recreation 28,772 27,791 -981 -3.41%
     7131 - Amusement parks and arcades 4,147 4,230 83 2.00%
     7132 - Gambling industries 2,306 2,006 -300 -13.01%
     7139 - Other amusement and recreation industries 22,319 21,555 -764 -3.42%
72 - Accommodation and Food Services
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
72 - Accommodation and food services 254,709 263,448 8,739 3.43%
  721 - Accommodation 30,219 33,007 2,788 9.23%
     7211 - Traveler accommodation 28,228 30,228 2,000 7.09%
     7212 - Rv parks and recreational camps 1,779 2,507 728 40.92%
     7213 - Rooming and boarding houses 212 272 60 28.30%
  722 - Food services and drinking places 224,490 230,441 5,951 2.65%
     7223 - Special food services 14,066 14,231 165 1.17%
     7224 - Drinking places, alcoholic beverages 7,027 7,298 271 3.86%
81 - Other services
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
81 - Other services, except public administration 119,667 115,355 -4,312 -3.60%
  811 - Repair and maintenance 27,113 27,297 184 0.68%
     8111 - Automotive repair and maintenance 20,243 20,508 265 1.31%
     8112 - Electronic equipment repair and maintenance 1,447 1,152 -295 -20.39%
     8113 - Commercial machinery repair and maintenance 4,018 4,316 298 7.42%
     8114 - Household goods repair and maintenance 1,405 1,321 -84 -5.98%
  812 - Personal and laundry services 25,107 23,688 -1,419 -5.65%
     8121 - Personal care services 10,887 10,433 -454 -4.17%
     8122 - Death care services 3,162 3,261 99 3.13%
     8123 - Drycleaning and laundry services 4,457 3,681 -776 -17.41%
     8129 - Other personal services 6,601 6,313 -288 -4.36%
  813 - Membership associations and organizations 64,943 62,775 -2,168 -3.34%
     8131 - Religious organizations 41,903 37,240 -4,663 -11.13%
     8132 - Grantmaking and giving services 2,574 2,700 126 4.90%
     8133 - Social advocacy organizations 4,009 4,271 262 6.54%
     8134 - Civic and social organizations 6,357 7,385 1,028 16.17%
     8139 - Professional and similar organizations 10,100 11,179 1,079 10.68%
  814 - Private households 2,504 1,595 -909 -36.30%
     8141 - Private households 2,504 1,595 -909 -36.30%
90 to 93 - Government
Industry Employment
Estimated 2022		 Employment
Projected 2032		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
90 - Government, Total 200,713 202,626 1,913 0.95%
  91 - Federal government 55,487 57,653 2,166 3.90%
  92 - State government 44,747 42,426 -2,321 -5.19%
  93 - Local government 100,479 102,547 2,068 2.06%
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