Industry Employment Projections

About Projections - Employment projections are a multi-step process. Historic industry employment trends and other factors are analyzed to project future industry employment. Industry staffing patterns are then used to estimate occupational employment projections. The occupational projections estimate the number of new, transfer, and exit jobs openings that are expected to occur over the projection period.

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Long-Term Projection 2018-2028

Missouri

Data produced by Missouri Economic Research and Information Center (MERIC). Funding provided by U.S. Department of Labor's Employment and Training Administration (ETA).
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
00 - All Industries 3,058,772 3,195,144 136,372 4.46%
11 - Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
11 - Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 28,475 29,709 1,234 4.33%
  111 - Crop production 15,024 15,934 910 6.06%
  112 - Animal production and aquaculture 10,037 9,951 -86 -0.86%
  113 - Forestry and logging 599 612 13 2.17%
  114 - Fishing, hunting and trapping 20 19 -1 -5.00%
  115 - Agriculture and forestry support activities 2,795 3,193 398 14.24%
21 - Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
21 - Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 4,140 4,262 122 2.95%
  212 - Mining, except oil and gas 3,868 3,897 29 0.75%
     2123 - Nonmetallic mineral mining and quarrying 3,013 3,079 66 2.19%
22 - Utilities
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
22 - Utilities 11,752 11,430 -322 -2.74%
  221 - Utilities 11,752 11,430 -322 -2.74%
     2211 - Power generation and supply 7,925 7,748 -177 -2.23%
23 - Construction
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
23 - Construction 122,687 131,154 8,467 6.90%
  236 - Construction of buildings 27,631 28,474 843 3.05%
     2361 - Residential building construction 11,497 11,884 387 3.37%
     2362 - Nonresidential building construction 16,134 16,590 456 2.83%
  237 - Heavy and civil engineering construction 14,825 16,715 1,890 12.75%
     2371 - Utility system construction 7,640 9,288 1,648 21.57%
     2372 - Land subdivision 266 200 -66 -24.81%
     2373 - Highway, street, and bridge construction 5,187 5,296 109 2.10%
     2379 - Other heavy construction 1,732 1,931 199 11.49%
  238 - Specialty trade contractors 80,231 85,965 5,734 7.15%
     2381 - Building foundation and exterior contractors 16,399 18,316 1,917 11.69%
     2382 - Building equipment contractors 37,046 40,262 3,216 8.68%
     2383 - Building finishing contractors 14,452 15,048 596 4.12%
     2389 - Other specialty trade contractors 12,334 12,339 5 0.04%
31 - Manufacturing
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
31 - Manufacturing 263,799 252,380 -11,419 -4.33%
  311 - Food manufacturing 32,219 32,020 -199 -0.62%
     3111 - Animal food manufacturing 5,073 5,298 225 4.44%
     3112 - Grain and oilseed milling 2,129 2,036 -93 -4.37%
     3113 - Sugar and confectionery product manufacturing 703 662 -41 -5.83%
     3114 - Fruit and vegetable preserving and specialty 2,841 2,683 -158 -5.56%
     3116 - Animal slaughtering and processing 18,494 19,016 522 2.82%
     3119 - Other food manufacturing 2,979 2,325 -654 -21.95%
  313 - Textile mills 291 230 -61 -20.96%
  314 - Textile product mills 1,912 1,660 -252 -13.18%
  315 - Apparel manufacturing 1,752 1,191 -561 -32.02%
  316 - Leather and allied product manufacturing 1,156 993 -163 -14.10%
  321 - Wood product manufacturing 7,687 7,000 -687 -8.94%
     3211 - Sawmills and wood preservation 2,193 1,907 -286 -13.04%
     3212 - Plywood and engineered wood product mfg. 579 571 -8 -1.38%
     3219 - Other wood product manufacturing 4,915 4,522 -393 -8.00%
  323 - Printing and related support activities 11,264 8,854 -2,410 -21.40%
     3231 - Printing and related support activities 11,264 8,854 -2,410 -21.40%
  324 - Petroleum and coal products manufacturing 1,378 1,243 -135 -9.80%
     3241 - Petroleum and coal products manufacturing 1,378 1,243 -135 -9.80%
  325 - Chemical manufacturing 19,763 19,055 -708 -3.58%
  326 - Plastics and rubber products manufacturing 17,249 17,199 -50 -0.29%
     3261 - Plastics product manufacturing 13,891 14,257 366 2.63%
     3262 - Rubber product manufacturing 3,358 2,942 -416 -12.39%
  327 - Nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing 8,232 7,494 -738 -8.97%
  331 - Primary metal manufacturing 6,742 6,350 -392 -5.81%
     3312 - Steel product mfg. from purchased steel 1,469 1,383 -86 -5.85%
     3314 - Other nonferrous metal production 1,147 1,089 -58 -5.06%
     3315 - Foundries 2,890 2,569 -321 -11.11%
  332 - Fabricated metal product manufacturing 30,822 28,419 -2,403 -7.80%
  333 - Machinery manufacturing 27,244 27,236 -8 -0.03%
  334 - Computer and electronic product manufacturing 11,012 11,089 77 0.70%
     3342 - Communications equipment manufacturing 1,061 1,044 -17 -1.60%
     3344 - Semiconductor and electronic component mfg. 6,475 6,875 400 6.18%
     3345 - Electronic instrument manufacturing 3,166 2,895 -271 -8.56%
  335 - Electrical equipment and appliance mfg. 10,727 10,605 -122 -1.14%
     3353 - Electrical equipment manufacturing 4,209 3,946 -263 -6.25%
     3359 - Other electrical equipment and component mfg. 5,671 5,953 282 4.97%
  336 - Transportation equipment manufacturing 46,024 44,199 -1,825 -3.97%
     3361 - Motor vehicle manufacturing 11,808 10,613 -1,195 -10.12%
     3362 - Motor vehicle body and trailer manufacturing 2,819 2,476 -343 -12.17%
     3363 - Motor vehicle parts manufacturing 10,515 10,239 -276 -2.62%
     3364 - Aerospace product and parts manufacturing 16,127 16,218 91 0.56%
     3366 - Ship and boat building 2,727 2,741 14 0.51%
  337 - Furniture and related product manufacturing 7,025 6,890 -135 -1.92%
  339 - Miscellaneous manufacturing 8,613 8,445 -168 -1.95%
     3391 - Medical equipment and supplies manufacturing 3,727 3,713 -14 -0.38%
     3399 - Other miscellaneous manufacturing 4,886 4,732 -154 -3.15%
42 - Wholesale Trade
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
42 - Wholesale trade 121,234 126,527 5,293 4.37%
  423 - Merchant wholesalers, durable goods 66,571 71,044 4,473 6.72%
  424 - Merchant wholesalers, nondurable goods 40,708 40,828 120 0.29%
  425 - Electronic markets and agents and brokers 13,955 14,655 700 5.02%
     4251 - Electronic markets and agents and brokers 13,955 14,655 700 5.02%
44 - Retail Trade
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
44 - Retail trade 311,178 309,027 -2,151 -0.69%
  441 - Motor vehicle and parts dealers 41,694 40,940 -754 -1.81%
     4411 - Automobile dealers 25,841 26,159 318 1.23%
     4412 - Other motor vehicle dealers 3,423 3,661 238 6.95%
     4413 - Auto parts, accessories, and tire stores 12,430 11,120 -1,310 -10.54%
  442 - Furniture and home furnishings stores 8,217 7,618 -599 -7.29%
     4421 - Furniture stores 3,822 3,673 -149 -3.90%
     4422 - Home furnishings stores 4,395 3,945 -450 -10.24%
  443 - Electronics and appliance stores 7,371 6,323 -1,048 -14.22%
     4431 - Electronics and appliance stores 7,371 6,323 -1,048 -14.22%
  444 - Building material and garden supply stores 29,989 30,787 798 2.66%
     4441 - Building material and supplies dealers 25,449 26,177 728 2.86%
     4442 - Lawn and garden equipment and supplies stores 4,540 4,610 70 1.54%
  445 - Food and beverage stores 49,006 48,994 -12 -0.02%
  446 - Health and personal care stores 19,868 20,429 561 2.82%
     4461 - Health and personal care stores 19,868 20,429 561 2.82%
  447 - Gasoline stations 28,718 30,670 1,952 6.80%
     4471 - Gasoline stations 28,718 30,670 1,952 6.80%
  448 - Clothing and clothing accessories stores 19,368 14,450 -4,918 -25.39%
     4481 - Clothing stores 14,153 10,092 -4,061 -28.69%
     4482 - Shoe stores 3,316 2,897 -419 -12.64%
     4483 - Jewelry, luggage, and leather goods stores 1,899 1,461 -438 -23.06%
  451 - Sports, hobby, music instrument, book stores 10,842 9,174 -1,668 -15.38%
     4511 - Sporting goods and musical instrument stores 9,465 8,478 -987 -10.43%
     4512 - Book stores and news dealers 1,377 696 -681 -49.46%
  452 - General merchandise stores 68,518 66,975 -1,543 -2.25%
  453 - Miscellaneous store retailers 15,684 13,959 -1,725 -11.00%
  454 - Nonstore retailers 11,903 18,708 6,805 57.17%
     4541 - Electronic shopping and mail-order houses 9,196 16,168 6,972 75.82%
     4542 - Vending machine operators 976 950 -26 -2.66%
     4543 - Direct selling establishments 1,731 1,590 -141 -8.15%
48 - Transportation and Warehousing
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
48 - Transportation and warehousing 100,759 107,670 6,911 6.86%
  481 - Air transportation 4,458 3,781 -677 -15.19%
     4811 - Scheduled air transportation 4,062 3,355 -707 -17.41%
     4812 - Nonscheduled air transportation 396 426 30 7.58%
  482 - Rail transportation 7,640 7,335 -305 -3.99%
     4821 - Rail transportation 7,640 7,335 -305 -3.99%
  483 - Water transportation 354 316 -38 -10.73%
  484 - Truck transportation 40,019 41,395 1,376 3.44%
  485 - Transit and ground passenger transportation 8,599 8,459 -140 -1.63%
     4852 - Interurban and rural bus transportation 342 332 -10 -2.92%
     4853 - Taxi and limousine service 788 561 -227 -28.81%
     4854 - School and employee bus transportation 4,661 4,501 -160 -3.43%
     4859 - Other ground passenger transportation 2,196 2,454 258 11.75%
     4869 - Other pipeline transportation 181 222 41 22.65%
  488 - Support activities for transportation 12,325 13,694 1,369 11.11%
     4881 - Support activities for air transportation 2,690 2,972 282 10.48%
     4882 - Support activities for rail transportation 1,132 1,181 49 4.33%
     4884 - Support activities for road transportation 2,060 2,357 297 14.42%
     4885 - Freight transportation arrangement 5,650 6,502 852 15.08%
     4911 - Postal service 14,954 11,933 -3,021 -20.20%
  492 - Couriers and messengers 11,095 14,107 3,012 27.15%
     4921 - Couriers and express delivery services 9,861 11,710 1,849 18.75%
     4922 - Local messengers and local delivery 1,234 2,397 1,163 94.25%
  493 - Warehousing and storage 15,457 17,755 2,298 14.87%
     4931 - Warehousing and storage 15,457 17,755 2,298 14.87%
51 - Information
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
51 - Information 48,893 45,153 -3,740 -7.65%
  511 - Publishing industries, except internet 9,305 7,786 -1,519 -16.32%
     5111 - Newspaper, book, and directory publishers 6,455 4,369 -2,086 -32.32%
     5112 - Software publishers 2,850 3,417 567 19.89%
  512 - Motion picture and sound recording industries 3,737 3,444 -293 -7.84%
     5121 - Motion picture and video industries 3,647 3,361 -286 -7.84%
     5122 - Sound recording industries 90 83 -7 -7.78%
  515 - Broadcasting, except internet 6,520 5,859 -661 -10.14%
     5151 - Radio and television broadcasting 4,095 3,853 -242 -5.91%
     5152 - Cable and other subscription programming 2,425 2,006 -419 -17.28%
  517 - Telecommunications 16,858 12,169 -4,689 -27.81%
  518 - Data processing, hosting and related services 10,584 13,479 2,895 27.35%
     5182 - Data processing, hosting and related services 10,584 13,479 2,895 27.35%
  519 - Other information services 1,889 2,416 527 27.90%
     5191 - Other information services 1,889 2,416 527 27.90%
52 - Finance and Insurance
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
52 - Finance and insurance 134,181 137,115 2,934 2.19%
  522 - Credit intermediation and related activities 55,751 56,147 396 0.71%
  524 - Insurance carriers and related activities 57,567 60,915 3,348 5.82%
     5241 - Insurance carriers 28,540 28,575 35 0.12%
     5242 - Insurance agencies and brokerages 29,027 32,340 3,313 11.41%
53 - Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
53 - Real estate and rental and leasing 37,762 39,618 1,856 4.92%
  531 - Real estate 26,223 27,842 1,619 6.17%
  532 - Rental and leasing services 11,131 11,356 225 2.02%
  533 - Lessors of nonfinancial intangible assets 408 420 12 2.94%
     5331 - Lessors of nonfinancial intangible assets 408 420 12 2.94%
54 - Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
54 - Professional and technical services 162,149 178,490 16,341 10.08%
  541 - Professional and technical services 162,149 178,490 16,341 10.08%
     5411 - Legal services 20,657 21,301 644 3.12%
     5412 - Accounting and bookkeeping services 20,017 19,748 -269 -1.34%
     5413 - Architectural and engineering services 22,626 23,891 1,265 5.59%
     5414 - Specialized design services 2,094 1,901 -193 -9.22%
     5415 - Computer systems design and related services 43,476 54,145 10,669 24.54%
     5416 - Management and technical consulting services 19,506 22,341 2,835 14.53%
     5417 - Scientific research and development services 8,132 8,630 498 6.12%
     5418 - Advertising, pr, and related services 9,524 9,149 -375 -3.94%
     5419 - Other professional and technical services 16,117 17,384 1,267 7.86%
55 - Management of Companies and Enterprises
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
55 - Management of companies and enterprises 65,483 66,175 692 1.06%
  551 - Management of companies and enterprises 65,483 66,175 692 1.06%
     5511 - Management of companies and enterprises 65,483 66,175 692 1.06%
56 - Admin and Support and Waste Management
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
56 - Administrative and waste services 158,105 163,986 5,881 3.72%
  561 - Administrative and support services 151,344 156,498 5,154 3.41%
     5611 - Office administrative services 8,533 8,712 179 2.10%
     5612 - Facilities support services 2,666 2,722 56 2.10%
     5613 - Employment services 55,576 56,026 450 0.81%
     5614 - Business support services 19,802 20,526 724 3.66%
     5615 - Travel arrangement and reservation services 4,951 4,194 -757 -15.29%
     5616 - Investigation and security services 13,609 14,478 869 6.39%
     5617 - Services to buildings and dwellings 36,900 40,286 3,386 9.18%
     5619 - Other support services 9,307 9,554 247 2.65%
  562 - Waste management and remediation services 6,761 7,488 727 10.75%
     5621 - Waste collection 3,361 3,901 540 16.07%
     5622 - Waste treatment and disposal 866 748 -118 -13.63%
     5629 - Remediation and other waste services 2,534 2,839 305 12.04%
61 - Educational Services
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
61 - Educational services 228,349 234,559 6,210 2.72%
  611 - Educational services 228,349 234,559 6,210 2.72%
     6111 - Elementary and secondary schools 152,361 153,114 753 0.49%
     6112 - Junior colleges 10,662 9,695 -967 -9.07%
     6113 - Colleges and universities 53,612 58,093 4,481 8.36%
     6114 - Business, computer and management training 1,112 1,143 31 2.79%
     6115 - Technical and trade schools 2,977 2,793 -184 -6.18%
     6116 - Other schools and instruction 5,912 7,606 1,694 28.65%
     6117 - Educational support services 1,713 2,115 402 23.47%
62 - Health Care and Social Assistance
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
62 - Health care and social assistance 452,581 525,357 72,776 16.08%
  621 - Ambulatory health care services 118,252 141,181 22,929 19.39%
     6211 - Offices of physicians 42,020 47,566 5,546 13.20%
     6212 - Offices of dentists 14,973 16,505 1,532 10.23%
     6213 - Offices of other health practitioners 16,504 20,015 3,511 21.27%
     6214 - Outpatient care centers 14,768 19,816 5,048 34.18%
     6215 - Medical and diagnostic laboratories 3,450 3,736 286 8.29%
     6216 - Home health care services 20,423 26,132 5,709 27.95%
     6219 - Other ambulatory health care services 6,114 7,411 1,297 21.21%
  622 - Hospitals 163,219 186,217 22,998 14.09%
     6221 - General medical and surgical hospitals 146,391 165,094 18,703 12.78%
     6222 - Psychiatric and substance abuse hospitals 6,285 7,091 806 12.82%
     6223 - Other hospitals 10,543 14,032 3,489 33.09%
  623 - Nursing and residential care facilities 75,754 78,973 3,219 4.25%
     6231 - Nursing care facilities, skilled nursing 44,479 43,154 -1,325 -2.98%
     6232 - Residential mental health facilities 14,143 16,865 2,722 19.25%
     6233 - Continuing care, assisted living facilities 13,707 15,121 1,414 10.32%
     6239 - Other residential care facilities 3,425 3,833 408 11.91%
  624 - Social assistance 95,356 118,986 23,630 24.78%
     6241 - Individual and family services 62,926 82,916 19,990 31.77%
     6242 - Emergency and other relief services 3,179 3,560 381 11.98%
     6243 - Vocational rehabilitation services 9,915 11,762 1,847 18.63%
     6244 - Child day care services 19,336 20,748 1,412 7.30%
71 - Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
71 - Arts, entertainment, and recreation 41,839 43,193 1,354 3.24%
  711 - Performing arts and spectator sports 9,974 10,448 474 4.75%
     7111 - Performing arts companies 3,144 2,815 -329 -10.46%
     7112 - Spectator sports 3,102 3,572 470 15.15%
     7113 - Promoters of performing arts and sports 3,142 3,476 334 10.63%
     7114 - Agents and managers for public figures 74 52 -22 -29.73%
     7115 - Independent artists, writers, and performers 512 533 21 4.10%
  712 - Museums, historical sites, zoos, and parks 3,068 3,410 342 11.15%
     7121 - Museums, historical sites, zoos, and parks 3,068 3,410 342 11.15%
  713 - Amusements, gambling, and recreation 28,797 29,335 538 1.87%
     7131 - Amusement parks and arcades 4,484 4,033 -451 -10.06%
     7132 - Gambling industries 2,998 2,100 -898 -29.95%
     7139 - Other amusement and recreation industries 21,315 23,202 1,887 8.85%
72 - Accommodation and Food Services
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
72 - Accommodation and food services 263,576 283,617 20,041 7.60%
  721 - Accommodation 34,945 35,365 420 1.20%
     7211 - Traveler accommodation 33,205 33,171 -34 -0.10%
     7212 - Rv parks and recreational camps 1,529 1,999 470 30.74%
     7213 - Rooming and boarding houses 211 195 -16 -7.58%
  722 - Food services and drinking places 228,631 248,252 19,621 8.58%
     7223 - Special food services 15,719 16,944 1,225 7.79%
     7224 - Drinking places, alcoholic beverages 6,398 5,340 -1,058 -16.54%
81 - Other services
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
81 - Other services, except public administration 121,299 123,288 1,989 1.64%
  811 - Repair and maintenance 24,911 25,696 785 3.15%
     8111 - Automotive repair and maintenance 18,678 19,127 449 2.40%
     8112 - Electronic equipment repair and maintenance 1,377 1,327 -50 -3.63%
     8113 - Commercial machinery repair and maintenance 3,667 4,104 437 11.92%
     8114 - Household goods repair and maintenance 1,189 1,138 -51 -4.29%
  812 - Personal and laundry services 25,399 25,445 46 0.18%
     8121 - Personal care services 10,693 11,411 718 6.71%
     8122 - Death care services 3,162 3,083 -79 -2.50%
     8123 - Drycleaning and laundry services 5,038 4,261 -777 -15.42%
     8129 - Other personal services 6,506 6,690 184 2.83%
  813 - Membership associations and organizations 65,852 67,509 1,657 2.52%
     8131 - Religious organizations 41,894 42,533 639 1.53%
     8132 - Grantmaking and giving services 2,121 2,457 336 15.84%
     8133 - Social advocacy organizations 3,959 4,797 838 21.17%
     8134 - Civic and social organizations 8,456 8,563 107 1.27%
     8139 - Professional and similar organizations 9,422 9,159 -263 -2.79%
  814 - Private households 5,137 4,638 -499 -9.71%
     8141 - Private households 5,137 4,638 -499 -9.71%
90 to 93 - Government
Industry Employment
Estimated 2018		 Employment
Projected 2028		 Numeric
Change		 Percent
Change
90 - Government, Total 210,393 205,101 -5,292 -2.52%
  91 - Federal government 54,862 51,853 -3,009 -5.48%
  92 - State government 49,894 46,095 -3,799 -7.61%
  93 - Local government 105,637 107,153 1,516 1.44%
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